Serious Delinquency Rate Falls

October 26, 2021
Single-Family Serious Delinquency has fallen 1.53% since August 2020.


Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency decreased to 1.79% in August, from 1.94% in July. The serious delinquency rate is down from 3.32% in August 2020. These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure.” The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59% following the housing bubble and peaked at 3.32% in August 2020 during the pandemic. This post in Calculated Risk helps break it down. By vintage, for loans made in 2004 or earlier (1% of portfolio), 4.47% are seriously delinquent (down from 4.82% in July). For loans made in 2005 through 2008 (2% of portfolio), 7.57% are seriously delinquent (down from 8.26%), For recent loans, originated in 2009 through 2021 (97% of portfolio), 1.46% are seriously delinquent (down from 1.57%). So, Fannie is still working through a few poor-performing loans from the bubble years. Mortgages in forbearance are counted as delinquent in this monthly report, but they will not be reported to the credit bureaus. This is very different from the increase in delinquencies following the housing bubble.   Lending standards have been fairly solid over the last decade, and most of these homeowners have equity in their homes - and they will be able to restructure their loans once they are employed.

Source: Rise and Shred